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Dollar Drops, Gold Soars as Prospect of a 50bps Fed Rate Cut Rises

  • Gold Hits New Record as Investors Anticipate More Interest Rate Cuts
  • Gold prices have surged to a new record high after the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates, and weaker U.S. inflation data increased hopes that the Federal Reserve might do the same.

Gold has broken its previous all-time high of $2,531.61 per ounce and surpassed the $2,550 mark for the first time. The precious metal had been hovering around the $2,530 level since late August, but strong U.S. economic data was keeping a lid on further gains.

Why Did Gold Surge?
Today’s jump of over 1.50% wasn’t due to any major changes in the U.S. economy. Instead, a combination of economic data and rate cuts by central banks has fueled optimism among investors. Recent reports, including the ISM purchasing managers’ indices (PMIs), job numbers, and consumer price index (CPI), indicated inflation is still present but not out of control.

However, today’s U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data showed that inflation pressures may be easing. Both the headline and core PPI, which measure the average change in selling prices received by domestic producers for their output, came in lower than expected for August. This was largely due to downward revisions of the previous month’s data.

Why Does This Matter?
Lower inflation rates generally increase the likelihood that central banks, like the Federal Reserve, might cut interest rates. Interest rate cuts can be positive for gold prices because they make other assets like bonds less attractive in comparison, pushing investors to seek out alternatives like gold.

The ECB’s recent decision to cut interest rates by 0.25% (or 25 basis points) has sparked hopes that more rate cuts could be coming soon from other major economies, including the United States. If the Federal Reserve also decides to cut rates next week, it could further boost gold prices.

Bottom Line
Gold is on the rise as investors bet on more rate cuts by central banks around the world. With inflation showing signs of cooling, the precious metal could continue to gain ground in the coming days.

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